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作者:陵顺乙
来源:无间道二
发布时间:2026-08-26

回魂夜

GOP Debate Marked by Infighting as Candidates Get Personal in Opening Round_我的网站

越狱第四季

一 |       特朗普总统威胁,将加拿大进口汽车关税由 25% 上调至 50%,为本就饱受贸易战冲击的汽车行业再添动荡  内容概要  特朗普总统威胁把从加拿大进口的汽车及汽车零部件关税,从 25% 翻倍提高到 50%。    

Republican presidential contenders traded nasty, sometimes personal barbs at the 2024 campaign season's first primary debate, ignoring the debate time-limit bell to shout over each other and accuse each other of dishonesty and a lack of presidential qualifications.
But if anyone prevailed at the debate, it was someone who wasn't there: former president and current front-runner Donald Trump, who had the debate audience booing candidates who criticized him and cheering those who defended him.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was the most aggressive in his blunt assessment of Trump, who is set to turn himself into authorities for processing Thursday in Georgia’s Fulton County on racketeering and other charges related to the effort to take away President Joe Biden's 2020 win in Georgia and give it to Trump.
"Someone's got to stop normalizing this conduct. Whether or not you believe the criminal charges are right or wrong, the conduct is beneath the office of the president of the United States," Christie said in a lengthy response that at one point was stopped by overwhelming boos from the live audience.
When 38-year-old tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy – who spent much of the evening needling his opponents like they were annoying parents who think they know more – jumped in to accuse Christie of running "a campaign … based on vengeance and grievance against one man," the former Garden State governor and onetime prosecutor turned his ire on Ramaswamy.
"You sit here talking about how you want to stand up for the rule of law. It can't be selective," Christie said, adding that Ramaswamy says different things about Trump in his book than he says while campaigning before a GOP electorate still very attached to the former president.
"I know a lot better than you do. You've never done it," Christie said. "We stood up for law and order. I am not going to bow to anyone when we have a president of the United States who disrespects the Constitution."
At one point, the boos and jeers became so loud Christie could not speak. "Booing is allowed, but it doesn't change the truth," he said. Moderator Bret Baier had to physically turn around in his seat and admonish the crowd to be quiet, while fellow moderator Martha McCallum tried to keep the candidates from drowning each other out.
Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson got no love either from the crowd when he said Trump was "morally disqualified" from being president again. "Obviously, I'm not going to support someone who's been convicted of a serious felony," said Hutchinson, whose extensive resume in all three branches of government has not gotten him above low single digits in primary polls.
Former Vice President Mike Pence made the issue more about his own behavior on Jan. 6, 2021, saying he did what was legally and morally right in refusing to reject the electoral slates sent to Washington to certify Biden's win.
"No one is above the law, and President Trump is entitled to the presumption of innocence every American is entitled to," Pence said. "But the American people deserve to know that ... he asked me to put him above the Constitution. I chose the Constitution and I always will."
Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley stayed above the fray in a debate that descended into a political food fight. She confidently displayed her foreign policy credentials, knocking down opponents who said the U.S. should cut off aid to Ukraine.
She noted her strong anti-abortion position but said the rest of the field needed to be “honest” with the American public and let them know a national ban was not in the works because it would never survive a Senate filibuster. And she blamed her own party as well as Democrats for running up the public debt.
Still, Trump is far and away the favorite to win the GOP nomination. A Des Moines Register/NBC poll released this week had Trump with the support of 42% of Iowa Republicans, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis a distant second, with 19% support. The remaining candidates on stage Wednesday night, including Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, Pence, Haley, Ramaswamy, Christie and Hutchinson, all had support in the single digits.
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum got just 2% in the poll and his condition at the debate – forced to stand for two hours despite having badly injured his leg while he was playing basketball Monday – seemed to underscore his wounded status.
"I think I took it too literally when they said, ‘Go to Milwaukee and break a leg,'" Burgum said in arguably his most memorable line of the night.
DeSantis, who has struggled in the polls in recent weeks, talked about his signature issues, such as eliminating discussion of certain racial and gender issues in schools but did not do anything to establish himself in his earlier role as back-up choice to Trump.
Ramaswamy has edged into second place in a couple of polls, ahead of a flagging DeSantis, and the debate dynamic reflected it. Buoyed by his emergence from unknown to candidate-of-the-hour, Ramaswamy confidently slammed his opponents for their positions, their character and even their age, saying Americans needed a new generation of leadership.
The rest of the group was having none of it.
"Let me explain it to you. I can go slower for you this time," sneered the usually decorous Pence, when Ramaswamy criticized his policies. "Now is not the time for on-the-job-training, We don't need to bring in a rookie," the former vice president added.
Ramaswamy cast himself as an outsider, saying, "The real choice we face in this primary is this: Do we want a super PAC puppet or do you want a patriot who speaks the truth?"
Ramaswamy dismissed a young voter's question about climate change, saying more people had been injured from "bad climate change policies" than climate change itself, which he called “a hoax.” He accused his opponents of unspecified corruption, saying, "I'm the only person on this stage who isn't bought and paid for."
Christie noted that Ramaswamy's comment about being the "skinny guy" with a "funny name" was almost word for word what Democratic President Barack Obama said when he was first running for president.
"I'm afraid we're dealing with the same kind of amateur,” Christie said.
Scott, who underscored his anti-abortion credentials and commitment to reducing government, urged a conversation on issues.
"Going back and forth and (being) childish is not helpful to the American people," Scott said.
Haley, exasperated by interruptions and escalating voices from much of the rest of the stage, noted, "This is exactly why [former British Prime Minister] Margaret Thatcher said, 'If you want something said, ask a man. If you want something done, ask a woman.’" It was one of the few comments Haley could get in, edgewise, during the raucous debate.

二 |   美加之间再度燃起的贸易战,本周进一步升温。特朗普公开表态:“我们不需要加拿大,是他们需要我们。”  但美国汽车行业看法截然不同。

三 | 一旦特朗普兑现威胁,将加拿大产汽车与零部件关税上调至 50%,底特律各大车企旗下一批利润最高的产品将遭受重创。  斯特兰蒂斯(Stellantis)在边境另一侧的安大略省温莎工厂,生产克莱斯勒品牌的大捷龙 MPV;通用汽车在安大略省奥沙瓦工厂生产皮卡;福特除肯塔基州工厂之外,今年晚些时候还将在多伦多附近的奥克维尔工厂投产 F 系列重型皮卡。福特与通用均在加拿大生产发动机,供给在美国市场销售的皮卡与 SUV。  行业数据机构 Omdia 数据显示,加拿大是美国第二大贸易伙伴,2025 年加拿大贡献了北美汽车总产量的 8%。虽然相较于十年前 13% 的占比有所下滑(产能与岗位向墨西哥和美国本土转移),但加拿大依旧是重要的整车及零部件生产国,同时也是汽车的重要消费市场,还是美国大型皮卡最大的出口目的地。  瑞银分析师表示,丰田与本田受关税上调冲击最大,加拿大进口车辆约占两家车企美国市场销量的十分之一。  据熟悉车企想法的人士透露,车企普遍认为特朗普定下的 1 月 1 日生效期限,说明高额关税更多是谈判筹码,而非板上钉钉的落地威胁。多数企业将观望谈判进展,暂不考虑调整生产布局。福特、斯特兰蒂斯、本田、丰田、通用汽车均拒绝置评。  但风险真实存在。丰田加拿大分公司前副总裁斯蒂芬・贝蒂称,如果特朗普落实征收关税,加拿大手中最有力的反制手段之一,就是对福特 F‑150 等美式全尺寸皮卡征收关税。  “加拿大并非没有反制选项,” 贝蒂说,“希望事态不会走到那一步。

四 | ”  密歇根州汽车零部件厂商 Leggera Technologies 首席执行官托马斯・科瓦尔表示,拟议的关税或许会让自家企业受益,公司生产的镁制零部件,正好和加拿大铝制零部件形成竞争。  “但我更担心整个制造业大局,” 科瓦尔表示。

五 | 经历新冠疫情、通胀、多轮关税冲击之后,“我不知道整个行业还能承受多大的额外压力。

六 | ”  关税翻倍的风险恰逢《美墨加协定》(USMCA)复审谈判,这份三方协定对美国汽车行业日常运营至关重要。  代表通用、福特、斯特兰蒂斯的行业协会 —— 美国汽车政策理事会负责人马特・布朗特表示:“我们敦促美加谈判代表达成协议,提升北美汽车产业竞争力,顺利完成美墨加协定复审。”  特朗普第二任期上台之初,就已经针对加拿大进口钢铁、汽车征收关税,加拿大随即对美国产汽车、金属产品征收报复性关税。汽车整车与零部件往往需要多次跨境流转,目前加拿大产汽车及零部件适用 25% 关税,附带部分豁免条款。  面对关税的反复摇摆,底特律车企一直在规划加大美国本土制造投资。加拿大汽车工人工会本月称,受特朗普施压企业把产能迁回美国的影响,斯特兰蒂斯有意出售多伦多周边的一处工厂。  但汽车产能跨地区转移既不快,也不容易。制造业回迁往往耗时数年;而关税政策频繁变动,让企业前景充满不确定性。  巴克莱分析师丹・利维在周一研报中写道:加拿大产车辆约占美国汽车销量的 6%,50% 的整车关税 “理论上尚可承受”。但核心疑问在于,符合美墨加协定规则的零部件,是否还能够继续享受关税豁免。“我们认为这一点存在巨大不确定性。”  美国 7 月拒绝续期美墨加协定,触发协定复审程序。随后特朗普威胁对价值 200 亿美元的加拿大商品征收 50% 关税,部分目的是为谈判施压。  福特上周称,接近达成协议,加拿大汽车关税有望降至 15%。但加拿大总理马克・卡尼表示谈判已经破裂:美方拒绝给予中重型车辆关税减免,如果该条件落实,加拿大汽车产业长期竞争力将受损。  全美汽车工人联合会(UAW)主席肖恩・费恩原本支持特朗普现行汽车关税政策,但他认为这次针对加拿大的关税威胁方向错误,应当把贸易施压目标转向其他国家。  费恩周二表态:“如果我们要提高关税,目标应当是那些车企持续向外转移岗位的国家 —— 当地工人时薪仅有 3 美元、工作环境恶劣、独立工会遭到打压。”  行业顾问、通用汽车前高管沃伦・布朗表示,如果关税落地,车企大概率上调车辆标价与各类附加费用,明年汽车销量或将下滑。  布朗在周二研报中指出:“一旦该政策落地,美国与加拿大双方都将承受严重损失。”责任编辑:郭明煜。

七 |

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